4Q25 Economic & Market Outlook

10-2-25

KEY TAKEAWAYS:

  1. Despite economic and political challenges, the US economy remains on solid fundamental footing.
  2. We believe the current expansion is primed to continue, aided by a resilient consumer, a massive data center building cycle, and an interest rate environment that is conducive to investment.
  3. While downside risks have grown, including a deteriorating labor market, continued weakness in housing and tariff uncertainty, none of these are likely to tip the economy into recession.